Complete analysis of paid ad performance across Meta. Tracking what's working, what's not, and where to go next. Updated weekly.
Conversion rates at each step of the paid traffic funnel. The biggest drop-off is from landing page view to opt-in — the landing page is the primary optimization lever.
Above average for cold traffic (benchmark: >2%). The creative is doing its job getting attention and clicks. A3V1 leads at 8.3% CTR.
Strong page load rate. 218 of 252 clicks actually landed on training.patstedman.com. Minimal drop-off from slow loading or bouncing.
31 leads from 218 landing page views. Not bad for cold traffic, but this is the biggest optimization opportunity. Improving this rate has the highest leverage on CPL.
Zero applications from these 31 leads so far. Expected — cold traffic enters a long email nurture cycle. Coaching clients often convert 6–24 months after first touch. Tracking this over time will reveal the true value of paid traffic.
Every ad from Round 1, ranked by leads generated. Each row includes the creative concept, format, and all key metrics.
| Ad | Format | Hook | Spend | Imp. | Clicks | LPV | Leads | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A3V1 | Static | Matchmaker can't make her want you | $136.55 | 2,253 | 187 | 159 | 18 | Marry |
| A8V1 | Founder | Signing up with her just cause she's hot | $48.37 | 746 | 23 | 23 | 6 | Fuck |
| A1V1 | Static | Spotting the wrong woman | $6.50 | 147 | 6 | 5 | 4 | Fuck |
| A9V1 | Studio | You're dating timewaster women | $13.26 | 276 | 13 | 8 | 2 | Fuck |
| A5V1 | Founder | You are optimizing for the wrong thing | $7.58 | 123 | 5 | 5 | 1 | Fuck |
| A7V1 | Founder | No opener will find you the right woman | $3.39 | 49 | 7 | 6 | 0 | Investigate |
| A2V1 | Static | 65 Men. 65 Wives. | $5.12 | 126 | 5 | 4 | 0 | Kill |
| Ad #5 | Static | (Generic / unnamed) | $7.06 | 133 | 4 | 3 | 0 | Kill |
| A4V1 | Static | Alone at a wedding | $3.41 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Kill |
| A6V1 | Founder | Going on dates is a bad strategy | $1.05 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Kill |
What it costs to reach, click, land, and convert at each stage of the funnel. Ranked by Cost Per Lead (lowest = best).
| Ad | Hook | Spend | CPM | CPC | Cost / LPV | CPL | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1V1 | Spotting the wrong woman | $6.50 | $44.22 | $1.08 | $1.30 | $1.63 | Fuck |
| A9V1 | You're dating timewaster women | $13.26 | $48.04 | $1.02 | $1.66 | $6.63 | Fuck |
| A3V1 | Matchmaker can't make her want you | $136.55 | $60.61 | $0.73 | $0.86 | $7.59 | Marry |
| A5V1 | You are optimizing for the wrong thing | $7.58 | $61.63 | $1.52 | $1.52 | $7.58 | Fuck |
| A8V1 | Signing up with her just cause she's hot | $48.37 | $64.84 | $2.10 | $2.10 | $8.06 | Fuck |
| A7V1 | No opener will find you the right woman | $3.39 | $69.18 | $0.48 | $0.57 | — | Investigate |
| A2V1 | 65 Men. 65 Wives. | $5.12 | $40.63 | $1.02 | $1.28 | — | Kill |
| Ad #5 | (Generic / unnamed) | $7.06 | $53.08 | $1.77 | $2.35 | — | Kill |
| A4V1 | Alone at a wedding | $3.41 | $45.47 | $3.41 | — | — | Kill |
| A6V1 | Going on dates is a bad strategy | $1.05 | $35.00 | $1.05 | — | — | Kill |
Percentage rates at each funnel stage. CTR measures ad hook strength. LPV Rate measures page load quality. Opt-in Rate measures landing page effectiveness. Ranked by opt-in rate (highest = best).
| Ad | Hook | CTR | LPV Rate | Opt-in Rate | Frequency | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1V1 | Spotting the wrong woman | 4.1% | 83.3% | 80.0% | 1.32 | Fuck |
| A9V1 | You're dating timewaster women | 4.7% | 61.5% | 25.0% | 1.16 | Fuck |
| A5V1 | You are optimizing for the wrong thing | 4.1% | 100.0% | 20.0% | 1.12 | Fuck |
| A3V1 | Matchmaker can't make her want you | 8.3% | 85.0% | 11.3% | 1.59 | Marry |
| A8V1 | Signing up with her just cause she's hot | 3.1% | 100.0% | 26.1% | 1.29 | Fuck |
| A7V1 | No opener will find you the right woman | 14.3% | 85.7% | 0% | 1.07 | Investigate |
| A2V1 | 65 Men. 65 Wives. | 4.0% | 80.0% | 0% | 1.08 | Kill |
| Ad #5 | (Generic / unnamed) | 3.0% | 75.0% | 0% | 1.21 | Kill |
| A4V1 | Alone at a wedding | 1.3% | 0% | — | 1.19 | Kill |
| A6V1 | Going on dates is a bad strategy | 3.3% | 0% | — | 1.20 | Kill |
Ads that generated leads. Ranked by CPL. These are the concepts to keep running, increase budget on, and create variations of.
| Ad | Format | Hook | Spend | Leads | CPL | CTR | Opt-in Rate | CPM | CPC | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1V1 | Static | Spotting the wrong woman | $6.50 | 4 | $1.63 | 4.1% | 80.0% | $44.22 | $1.08 | Fuck |
| A9V1 | Studio | You're dating timewaster women | $13.26 | 2 | $6.63 | 4.7% | 25.0% | $48.04 | $1.02 | Fuck |
| A3V1 | Static | Matchmaker can't make her want you | $136.55 | 18 | $7.59 | 8.3% | 11.3% | $60.61 | $0.73 | Marry |
| A5V1 | Founder | You are optimizing for the wrong thing | $7.58 | 1 | $7.58 | 4.1% | 20.0% | $61.63 | $1.52 | Fuck |
| A8V1 | Founder | Signing up with her just cause she's hot | $48.37 | 6 | $8.06 | 3.1% | 26.1% | $64.84 | $2.10 | Fuck |
Hook: "Spotting the wrong woman"
Best CPL in the entire round by a mile — $1.63 per lead. 80% opt-in rate (4 of 5 LPVs converted). Tiny sample needs validation at higher spend, but the vetting angle clearly resonates. Priority #1 to scale.
Hook: "The matchmaker can't make her want you"
Meta's clear winner. Got 59% of total budget ($136 of $232). 8.3% CTR is exceptional for cold traffic. Cheapest CPC at $0.73. The 11.3% opt-in rate is lower than some others, but proven at volume. Make variations immediately.
Hook: "You're signing up with her just cause she's hot"
26.1% opt-in rate with 100% LPV rate (everyone who clicked actually landed and a quarter opted in). Higher CPC at $2.10, but strong conversion once they arrive. Drama + text hook working well.
Hook: "You're dating timewaster women"
$6.63 CPL and the lowest CPC of any winner at $1.02. Cheapest to get clicks, decent conversion. Pat should film more studio variations of this concept.
Ads that generated zero leads. Kill these and reallocate budget to winners and new tests.
| Ad | Format | Hook | Spend | Clicks | LPV | Leads | CTR | CPM | CPC | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A7V1 | Founder | No opener will find you the right woman | $3.39 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 14.3% | $69.18 | $0.48 | Investigate |
| A2V1 | Static | 65 Men. 65 Wives. | $5.12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4.0% | $40.63 | $1.02 | Kill |
| Ad #5 | Static | (Generic / unnamed) | $7.06 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3.0% | $53.08 | $1.77 | Kill |
| A4V1 | Static | Alone at a wedding | $3.41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.3% | $45.47 | $3.41 | Kill |
| A6V1 | Founder | Going on dates is a bad strategy | $1.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.3% | $35.00 | $1.05 | Kill |
14.3% CTR and $0.48 CPC — cheapest clicks in the entire round — but zero leads. Classic congruence problem: the hook promises a specific insight about openers, but the landing page is a general training opt-in. The people clicking want the specific thing the ad promised. Either broaden the hook or create a landing page that echoes this specific promise. The click magnetism here is real — it just needs somewhere congruent to land.
1.3% CTR and $3.41 CPC — worst in both categories. Direct pain imagery. Men scroll past pain they don't want to sit in. Cold traffic doesn't respond to being made to feel bad.
Decent CTR (4.0%) and cheap CPC ($1.02), but zero opt-ins. The big promise / social proof angle may work for warm audiences who know Pat, but cold traffic doesn't have the context to believe it. AI creative quality may have hurt too. Save this angle for retargeting.
The patterns behind what works and what doesn't, extracted from Round 1 results mapped against creative strategy.
Top 3 performers all position Pat against an alternative the prospect has already considered: matchmakers, female dating coaches, timewaster dates. This outperforms direct pain and direct promise by a wide margin.
A1's "spotting the wrong woman" angle hit $1.63 CPL. ~40% of Pat's clients don't need to attract women — they need to choose better. This is undertested and high-potential.
A3 (static, Marry) and A1 (static, best CPL) outperformed all founder and studio videos. Static may work better for cold traffic because the message is processed instantly vs. requiring 3+ seconds of video attention.
A4 ("Alone at a wedding") had the worst CTR at 1.3%. Cold traffic scrolls past imagery that makes them feel bad. They engage with content that makes them feel understood or curious.
A7 proves it: 14.3% CTR but zero opt-ins. Specific hooks that don't match the landing page create a curiosity click that dies on arrival. The landing page must echo the ad's promise.
A2's "65 Men. 65 Wives." is great social proof — for people who already know Pat. Cold traffic doesn't have the context to believe it. Save proof-heavy angles for retargeting and email.
A1, A2, A3, A4. The clear winners came from this format. A3 (Marry) and A1 (best CPL) are both static. A2 and A4 are both kills, but their failure is angle-driven, not format-driven. Static allows the message to be processed instantly.
A5, A6, A7, A8. Mixed results. A8 (female dating coach) performed well with drama + text hook. A5 needs congruence check. A6 and A7 are kills. Pat's on-camera presence is an asset, but the hook matters more than the format.
A9 only. $6.63 CPL on small sample. Studio quality may add credibility for cold audiences. Pat filming more variations is the right next step. Need more data before drawing format conclusions.
Prioritized actions for the next round of ads, based on Round 1 data and creative analysis.
Untested hooks drawn from Pat's positioning, email copy, and the belief framework. Prioritized by alignment with Round 1 winners.
"That is not advice. That is a mirror with a thesaurus." — Positions Pat against the thing every man has already tried. Timely, sharp, and directly in Pat's voice. Static or founder format.
"If random information was going to fix your dating life, it would have worked by now." — Attacks the consumption-without-action pattern. Resonates with the "smart but stuck" segment.
More movie-poster style statics on the vetting theme. "You don't have a dating problem. You have a selection problem." Expands on A1's winning concept.
"Your relationship is a 6 out of 10 and you know it." — Targets MC1 (coasting husband) segment. Untested in ads but strong in email. Could open a new audience pocket.
"If you could see your blind spots, they wouldn't be blind spots." — Positions coaching as diagnostic precision. May work better as retargeting than cold.